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Red54
39668.7
248148.0
94762.1
Blue87
426521.8
146620.3
449931.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588520401001205487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.1
45.345.2
Auto16.9
Teleop27.7
End3.4
red by 16.4
31.60.5
31.831.3
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Second
3966
#37
8.70.1
7.67.5
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 13.1
21.80.5
20.119.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
9476
#47
2.10.2
2.72.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.2
End-0.1
blue by 18.2
1466
#10
20.30.5
22.021.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned