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Red65
77179.9
651728.9
87737.3
Blue63
500213.1
263829.9
32318.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446320801001206563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.5
26.628.2
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 1.0
29.90.5
27.327.8
Auto9.3
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
7717
#44
9.92.4
9.211.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 8.7
323
#19
18.60.5
16.417.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
8773
#30
7.32.4
6.48.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 5.7
5002
#36
13.10.5
11.211.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned