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Red60
640414.6
32318.6
395915.6
Blue69
541015.2
449931.6
239316.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456902060801001206069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#19
18.61.1
16.918.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 13.0
31.60.6
30.431.0
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Second
3959
#21
15.61.1
12.914.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 1.0
2393
#20
16.60.6
15.115.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
6404
#25
14.61.1
13.514.6
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 0.6
5410
#26
15.20.6
14.214.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed