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Red49
651728.9
430611.4
970211.8
Blue78
884126.4
313911.4
93126.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53690204060801001201404978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.2
28.127.8
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
red by 2.5
931
#14
26.41.0
24.825.8
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9702
#43
11.80.2
10.510.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 14.6
8841
#11
26.41.0
25.826.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Third
4306
#29
11.40.3
11.711.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.6
red by 0.1
3139
#27
11.41.0
10.311.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed