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Red26
349.1
86246.9
77179.9
Blue63
500510.1
39668.7
314018.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28360102040506070802663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7717
#44
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 8.9
3140
#12
18.81.8
16.418.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
Second
34
#42
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 0.9
5005
#45
10.11.8
8.310.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Third
8624
#28
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.7
End0.4
blue by 1.8
3966
#37
8.71.8
7.08.7
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed