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Red87
978713.6
395915.6
449931.6
Blue58
398422.6
297311.0
970211.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6544020801001201408758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.6
31.032.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
red by 8.9
3984
#35
22.60.9
22.123.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Second
3959
#21
15.61.6
14.015.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 3.8
9702
#43
11.80.9
10.311.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
9787
#33
13.62.1
11.513.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 2.6
2973
#39
11.01.2
9.711.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed