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Red24
580015.1
402028.3
449931.6
Blue60
906722.9
93126.4
970211.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906502040801001201401602460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.2
32.831.6
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End4.9
red by 5.2
931
#14
26.40.0
26.626.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
28.31.2
29.528.3
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 5.4
22.90.0
23.223.1
Auto11.5
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Third
5800
#18
15.11.2
16.315.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End0.4
red by 3.3
9702
#43
11.80.0
12.011.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7