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Red100
239316.6
555733.4
263829.9
Blue103
711120.5
426521.8
651728.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8975204060100120140160100103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
33.033.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 4.5
28.90.7
28.329.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
29.90.4
29.529.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.2
End2.4
red by 8.1
21.80.7
21.222.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
2393
#20
16.60.4
16.116.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 3.9
7111
#22
20.50.7
19.920.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0