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Red69
970211.8
93126.4
906722.9
Blue82
711120.5
426521.8
651728.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66812040601001201406982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#14
26.40.2
26.626.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 2.5
28.90.0
29.029.0
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
22.90.2
23.122.9
Auto11.5
Teleop9.5
End2.0
red by 1.1
21.80.0
22.022.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
9702
#43
11.80.2
11.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 8.7
7111
#22
20.50.0
20.620.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0