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Red71
12022.9
398422.6
884126.4
Blue90
711120.5
426521.8
651728.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79806070901007190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#11
26.40.1
26.526.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 2.5
28.90.2
29.029.2
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Second
120
#24
22.90.1
23.022.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End0.7
red by 1.1
21.80.2
22.022.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
3984
#35
22.60.1
22.822.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 2.1
7111
#22
20.50.2
20.720.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0