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Red95
449938.7
642431.4
35340.0
Blue103
705630.3
949642.6
609036.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110705015020025030095103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#3
40.01.1
34.533.3
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
blue by 2.6
9496
#23
42.60.4
34.835.1
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
Second
4499
#11
38.71.1
31.630.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
red by 2.1
6090
#33
36.60.4
35.035.4
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Third
6424
#30
31.41.1
34.233.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End3.7
red by 1.2
7056
#34
30.30.4
27.728.1
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsMissed