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Red101
299230.7
365530.3
271828.2
Blue72
420640.1
327642.9
704811.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9091708010011010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#35
30.71.1
29.730.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
blue by 12.2
3276
#24
42.90.6
36.335.7
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
Second
3655
#13
30.31.1
29.430.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.7
blue by 9.8
4206
#27
40.10.6
35.534.9
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
Third
2718
#25
28.21.1
23.124.2
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
red by 16.5
7048
#64
11.70.6
9.18.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed