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Red83
940627.1
473836.1
704811.7
Blue100
285424.4
801133.1
449938.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010620406012014016018083100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#42
36.10.1
36.236.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
blue by 2.6
4499
#11
38.70.5
39.239.7
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Second
9406
#56
27.10.1
27.127.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 6.0
8011
#40
33.10.5
31.932.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Third
7048
#64
11.70.1
12.012.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 12.7
2854
#49
24.40.5
21.622.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned