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Red50
603635.3
271828.2
94265.4
Blue96
516634.0
941828.6
376732.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721050501505096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#46
35.31.3
33.532.2
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End0.4
red by 1.3
34.00.3
32.232.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End3.1
Second
2718
#25
28.21.3
29.628.3
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
blue by 4.5
3767
#32
32.70.3
30.630.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Third
9426
#57
5.41.3
6.14.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 23.2
9418
#45
28.60.3
28.128.5
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed