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Red133
851732.6
133919.0
126143.1
Blue84
36036.1
491731.7
198218.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90932040608010012014013384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#29
43.13.4
39.442.8
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
red by 7.0
360
#10
36.10.3
33.833.5
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.0
Second
8517
#39
32.63.4
28.932.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 0.9
4917
#31
31.70.3
31.030.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
1339
#61
19.03.4
13.717.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
red by 0.9
1982
#58
18.10.3
18.818.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsEarned