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Red105
642431.4
34134.3
599619.1
Blue50
75898.6
97178.4
299230.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9746015010550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#47
34.31.6
33.134.6
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End3.1
red by 3.6
2992
#35
30.70.2
30.930.7
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Second
6424
#30
31.41.6
29.731.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End3.7
red by 22.8
7589
#63
8.60.2
7.87.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
5996
#43
19.11.6
18.820.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 10.7
9717
#71
8.40.2
8.78.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed