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Red106
237325.1
223134.4
235733.7
Blue61
325626.1
420.7
116830.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103902040608012014016010661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#36
34.40.9
34.535.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
red by 4.0
1168
#51
30.42.2
33.331.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.3
End0.5
Second
33.70.9
33.234.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3
red by 7.6
3256
#44
26.12.2
27.925.7
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
2373
#73
25.10.9
24.325.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 4.4
4
#26
20.72.2
22.220.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsEarned