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Red100
348013.9
656925.9
461347.4
Blue100
307036.2
805418.2
85732.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95917080100110120100100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.4
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 11.1
3070
#22
36.2
Auto12.7
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Second
6569
#50
25.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End2.7
blue by 6.2
857
#17
32.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
Third
3480
#65
13.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 4.3
8054
#52
18.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed