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Red70
463920.2
94999.1
207547.1
Blue112
126143.1
96686.4
461347.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86946070809010011012070112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#21
47.11.2
42.541.3
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
blue by 0.3
47.40.5
43.143.6
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Second
4639
#59
20.21.2
23.922.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 22.9
1261
#29
43.10.5
35.636.1
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Third
9499
#74
9.11.2
12.110.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
red by 2.7
9668
#60
6.40.6
5.56.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed