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Red97
85732.1
365633.3
941828.6
Blue66
427232.7
712122.1
171432.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88984060801201409766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.1
29.330.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.7
End3.5
red by 0.6
4272
#12
32.71.4
35.534.1
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.6
Second
857
#17
32.11.1
26.928.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
red by 0.1
1714
#54
32.01.4
29.327.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Third
9418
#45
28.61.1
24.525.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 6.5
7121
#48
22.11.4
22.821.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed