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Red61
288324.5
463920.2
12018.7
Blue106
167858.3
388019.7
902335.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6613005010015020061106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#53
24.51.0
24.423.4
Auto11.0
Teleop9.9
End3.5
blue by 33.8
58.30.3
55.254.9
Auto18.1
Teleop32.7
End7.5
Second
4639
#59
20.21.0
23.322.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 15.2
9023
#19
35.40.3
34.434.2
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End1.6
Third
120
#70
18.71.0
19.418.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 1.0
3880
#18
19.70.3
20.119.9
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed88%Ensemble oddsEarned