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Red104
348921.5
1635.9
59728.7
Blue90
35411.1
449938.7
740741.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891055015020010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#41
35.90.9
31.832.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End2.6
blue by 6.0
41.90.5
41.841.2
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
Second
597
#16
28.70.9
27.828.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End1.9
blue by 10.0
4499
#11
38.70.5
39.739.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
3489
#28
21.50.9
22.723.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 10.4
354
#67
11.10.5
11.811.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed84%Ensemble oddsMissed