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Qual 1142024 Archimedes Division
Red75
126143.1
704811.7
198218.1
Blue126
804440.7
603635.3
516634.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751215010015020075126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#29
43.10.4
42.8→42.4
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
red by 2.5
8044
#6
40.71.4
39.6→41.0
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
Second
1982
#58
18.10.4
18.5→18.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 17.2
6036
#46
35.31.4
32.2→33.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End0.4
Third
7048
#64
11.70.4
12.1→11.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 22.3
5166
#8
34.01.4
32.6→34.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed