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Red112
207547.1
427232.7
299230.7
Blue69
805418.2
172927.1
116830.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1287905010015020011269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#21
47.10.0
46.446.4
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
red by 16.6
1168
#51
30.40.7
31.130.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.3
End0.5
Second
4272
#12
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.6
red by 5.6
27.10.7
27.126.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Third
2992
#35
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 12.5
8054
#52
18.20.7
18.918.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed