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Red44
694127.2
348921.5
463920.2
Blue60
107113.1
316132.8
599619.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847502040601001201401604460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#62
27.22.1
29.227.2
Auto12.1
Teleop14.3
End0.8
blue by 5.6
3161
#20
32.81.2
34.132.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
3489
#28
21.52.1
23.621.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 2.4
5996
#43
19.11.2
20.319.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Third
4639
#59
20.22.1
22.320.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 7.2
1071
#72
13.11.2
14.313.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned