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Red70
35411.1
712122.1
609036.6
Blue90
370729.9
34134.3
288324.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74101501507090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#33
36.60.2
36.836.6
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
red by 2.3
341
#47
34.30.0
34.634.6
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End3.1
Second
7121
#48
22.10.2
22.322.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 7.8
3707
#55
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End3.9
Third
354
#67
11.10.2
11.311.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
blue by 13.4
2883
#53
24.50.0
23.423.4
Auto11.0
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned