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Red60
348013.9
316132.8
94999.1
Blue103
663925.6
271828.2
370729.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579204010012060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#20
32.80.0
35.535.5
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 2.9
3707
#55
29.92.2
26.428.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End3.9
Second
3480
#65
13.90.0
14.114.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 14.3
2718
#25
28.22.2
24.226.5
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
9499
#74
9.10.0
10.910.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 16.5
6639
#37
25.62.2
19.221.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned