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Red70
804440.7
12018.7
96686.4
Blue65
171432.0
107113.1
299230.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638902040801001201401607065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
33.533.2
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
red by 8.6
1714
#54
32.00.8
27.927.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Second
120
#70
18.70.4
20.720.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 12.0
2992
#35
30.70.8
30.930.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Third
9668
#60
6.40.4
6.15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 6.6
1071
#72
13.10.8
18.617.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed