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Red61
85732.1
656925.9
80569.9
Blue70
420.7
126143.1
75898.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765203040506080901006170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#17
32.10.0
28.028.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
blue by 11.0
1261
#29
43.10.7
36.136.8
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Second
6569
#50
25.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End2.7
red by 5.2
4
#26
20.70.7
18.519.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
8056
#68
9.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 1.3
7589
#63
8.60.7
4.95.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed