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Red101
167858.3
35411.1
207547.1
Blue74
705630.3
198218.1
941828.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131695010015020010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.7
57.456.7
Auto18.1
Teleop32.7
End7.5
red by 28.0
7056
#34
30.30.3
28.128.3
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Second
2075
#21
47.10.7
41.340.6
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
red by 18.5
9418
#45
28.60.3
25.625.8
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Third
354
#67
11.10.7
12.812.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
blue by 7.0
1982
#58
18.10.3
16.516.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned