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Red81
97178.4
23130.2
491731.7
Blue74
288324.5
704811.7
107113.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7858020401001201408174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#31
31.70.7
32.333.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.6
End2.6
red by 7.2
2883
#53
24.51.3
27.128.4
Auto11.0
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Second
231
#14
30.20.7
27.728.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
red by 17.1
1071
#72
13.11.3
17.719.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Third
9717
#71
8.40.7
8.59.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 3.3
7048
#64
11.71.3
9.811.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed