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Red70
36036.1
68656.9
940627.1
Blue101
663925.6
804440.7
949642.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65104020408012014016070101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#10
36.10.5
30.530.9
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.0
blue by 6.5
9496
#23
42.60.8
35.135.9
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
Second
9406
#56
27.10.5
27.127.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 13.6
40.70.8
33.233.9
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
Third
6865
#75
6.90.5
5.56.0
Auto7.5
Teleop-1.4
End0.8
blue by 18.8
6639
#37
25.60.8
21.422.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed