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Red105
516634.0
420640.1
491731.7
Blue96
941828.6
307036.2
940627.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089840608012014016018010596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#27
40.10.5
33.033.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
red by 3.9
3070
#22
36.20.4
36.637.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Second
34.00.5
30.831.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End3.1
red by 5.4
9418
#45
28.60.4
25.425.9
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Third
4917
#31
31.70.5
33.033.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.6
End2.6
red by 4.6
9406
#56
27.10.4
27.628.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed