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Red54
494638.7
97178.4
96686.4
Blue108
609036.6
271828.2
420.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4792020608010012014016054108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#15
38.70.0
34.934.9
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
red by 2.1
6090
#33
36.62.0
33.335.3
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Second
9717
#71
8.40.0
8.88.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 19.8
2718
#25
28.22.0
26.428.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
9668
#60
6.40.0
3.83.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 14.3
4
#26
20.72.0
18.020.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed