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Red69
704811.7
949642.6
75898.6
Blue84
370729.9
59728.7
463920.2
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53920204060801001201401606984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#23
42.60.8
36.437.1
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
red by 12.7
3707
#55
29.90.3
29.329.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End3.9
Second
7048
#64
11.70.8
11.111.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 17.0
597
#16
28.70.3
27.427.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End1.9
Third
7589
#63
8.60.8
5.15.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 11.6
4639
#59
20.20.3
22.122.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed