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Red97
116830.4
285424.4
376732.7
Blue107
642431.4
126143.1
348921.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210005015020097107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#32
32.70.5
29.630.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
blue by 10.4
1261
#29
43.11.0
37.138.1
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Second
1168
#51
30.40.5
32.132.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.3
End0.5
blue by 1.0
6424
#30
31.41.0
31.132.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Third
2854
#49
24.40.5
22.623.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End2.1
red by 2.9
3489
#28
21.51.0
21.222.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed