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Red74
12018.7
327642.9
940627.1
Blue111
656925.9
705630.3
427232.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9695809010011074111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#24
42.90.8
37.736.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
red by 10.2
4272
#12
32.71.5
34.435.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.6
Second
9406
#56
27.10.8
28.027.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 3.2
7056
#34
30.31.5
29.030.4
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
120
#70
18.70.8
20.820.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 7.2
6569
#50
25.91.5
23.525.0
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned