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Red69
316132.8
307036.2
712122.1
Blue127
36036.1
902335.4
207547.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103116608014016018020069127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#22
36.21.7
37.135.4
Auto12.7
Teleop20.5
End3.0
blue by 10.8
2075
#21
47.11.3
41.743.0
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
Second
3161
#20
32.81.7
34.332.6
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 3.3
360
#10
36.11.3
31.332.6
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.0
Third
7121
#48
22.11.7
23.221.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 13.3
9023
#19
35.41.3
30.331.7
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned