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Red71
223134.4
599619.1
388019.7
Blue129
420640.1
461347.4
804440.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67128020408010012014016071129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#36
34.40.1
32.832.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
blue by 13.0
47.41.2
41.542.7
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Second
3880
#18
19.70.1
19.419.4
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 20.9
40.71.2
33.634.8
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
Third
5996
#43
19.10.1
15.815.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
blue by 21.0
4206
#27
40.11.2
33.634.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsMissed