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Red121
365633.3
609036.6
34134.3
Blue35
704811.7
12018.7
805418.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11947010015020012135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#33
36.61.4
35.336.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
red by 17.9
120
#70
18.71.1
20.018.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Second
341
#47
34.31.4
32.533.9
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End3.1
red by 16.1
8054
#52
18.21.1
19.618.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
33.31.4
31.533.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.7
End3.5
red by 21.6
7048
#64
11.71.1
11.810.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed