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Red130
516634.0
740741.9
801133.1
Blue150
599619.1
207547.1
461347.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011350150200130150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.92.0
39.141.2
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
blue by 5.5
47.43.1
42.745.8
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Second
34.02.0
32.334.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End3.1
blue by 13.1
2075
#21
47.13.1
43.046.1
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
Third
8011
#40
33.12.0
28.230.2
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 14.0
5996
#43
19.13.1
15.919.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsEarned