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Red63
851732.6
107113.1
941828.6
Blue118
223134.4
902335.4
940627.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010505015020063118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#39
32.61.0
28.927.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End3.4
blue by 2.8
9023
#19
35.41.3
31.732.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End1.6
Second
9418
#45
28.61.0
27.626.7
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 5.8
2231
#36
34.41.3
32.934.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
Third
1071
#72
13.11.0
18.917.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End0.5
blue by 14.0
9406
#56
27.11.3
27.628.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed