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Red96
126143.1
694127.2
237325.1
Blue99
712122.1
288324.5
327642.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910080901101209699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#29
43.10.3
38.138.5
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
red by 0.2
3276
#24
42.90.3
39.039.3
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
Second
6941
#62
27.20.3
28.428.7
Auto12.1
Teleop14.3
End0.8
red by 2.7
2883
#53
24.50.3
28.829.1
Auto11.0
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Third
2373
#73
25.10.3
24.424.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 3.0
7121
#48
22.10.3
21.521.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed