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Qual 732024 Archimedes Division
Red112
494638.7
388019.7
427232.7
Blue100
663925.6
491731.7
348921.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10580204060120140160180112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#15
38.70.5
37.0→37.5
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
red by 7.0
4917
#31
31.71.0
31.9→32.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Second
4272
#12
32.70.5
35.9→36.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.6
red by 7.1
6639
#37
25.61.0
21.1→22.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Third
3880
#18
19.70.5
19.4→19.9
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 1.8
3489
#28
21.51.0
22.3→23.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed