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Red113
449938.7
75898.6
804440.7
Blue98
172927.1
235733.7
420640.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110620406012014016018011398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.1
34.836.9
Auto10.8
Teleop26.0
End3.8
red by 0.5
4206
#27
40.10.2
34.835.0
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
Second
4499
#11
38.72.1
35.437.5
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
red by 5.0
33.70.2
33.333.5
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Third
7589
#63
8.62.1
5.98.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 18.5
27.10.2
25.125.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed85%Ensemble oddsEarned