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Red96
473836.1
299230.7
365633.3
Blue57
198218.1
68656.9
325626.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1184901001509657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#42
36.10.2
35.034.8
Auto10.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
red by 10.0
3256
#44
26.10.2
28.929.0
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Second
33.30.2
33.032.8
Auto10.0
Teleop19.7
End3.5
red by 15.2
1982
#58
18.10.2
18.518.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
2992
#35
30.70.2
30.430.3
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 23.9
6865
#75
6.90.2
5.25.4
Auto7.5
Teleop-1.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed