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Red65
40918.0
599619.1
949642.6
Blue116
207547.1
420.7
376732.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511405010015020065116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#23
42.60.0
38.538.5
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
blue by 4.4
2075
#21
47.11.3
46.147.3
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
Second
5996
#43
19.10.0
19.019.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
blue by 13.6
3767
#32
32.71.3
30.231.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Third
4091
#69
8.00.0
7.27.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 12.7
4
#26
20.71.3
20.822.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned