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Red121
461347.4
365530.3
1635.9
Blue68
370729.9
940627.1
97178.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130645010015020012168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.2
45.844.6
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 17.5
3707
#55
29.90.2
29.729.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End3.9
Second
16
#41
35.91.2
33.131.9
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End2.6
red by 8.8
9406
#56
27.10.2
28.828.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Third
3655
#13
30.31.2
31.129.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.7
red by 21.9
9717
#71
8.40.2
7.47.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed