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Red96
694127.2
23130.2
271828.2
Blue104
388019.7
449938.7
126143.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810740608012014016018020096104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#14
30.20.2
30.530.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
blue by 12.9
1261
#29
43.10.5
38.539.0
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Second
2718
#25
28.20.2
30.430.1
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
blue by 10.5
4499
#11
38.70.5
37.538.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
6941
#62
27.20.2
28.728.5
Auto12.1
Teleop14.3
End0.8
red by 7.4
3880
#18
19.70.5
19.920.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned