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Red74
171432.0
75898.6
420640.1
Blue84
348921.5
496731.6
36036.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771020501507484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#27
40.10.1
35.035.1
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
red by 4.0
360
#10
36.10.3
33.633.3
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.0
Second
1714
#54
32.00.1
29.329.4
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 0.5
4967
#38
31.60.3
32.331.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.8
End3.6
Third
7589
#63
8.60.1
8.08.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 12.9
3489
#28
21.50.3
23.322.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsMissed